Around two or three tropical cyclones are expected to enter or develop inside the Philippine area of responsibility within this month, according to the forecast of the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration.
These cyclones will either make landfall and cross the Philippines, or “recurve” and do not make landfall.
In the latest PAGASA weather bulletin, the typhoon-enhanced southwest monsoon or “habagat” will still bring significant rains over the Ilocos Region, Zambales, Bataan, Pampanga, Bulacan, Occidental Mindoro, and the northern portion of Palawan, including Calamian, Cuyo and Kalayaan Islands, in the next three days.
PAGASA warned that flooding and rain-induced landslides may be experienced in the affected communities.
The state weather bureau said the next tropical cyclones will be given the local names of Goring, Hanna and Ineng.
It is projecting “near-normal” rainfall for most of the Philippines between August and September, with a “higher probability of near to above-normal rainfall throughout the country.”
In August, PAGASA said four common climatological tracks occur, including the recurving toward the northern part of PAR (non-landfalling) or Japan, enhancing the effect of the southwest monsoon, or “habagat”; recurving toward the northwestern part of PAR (non-landfalling) or Taiwan, strengthening “habagat’s” effect; landfalling and traversing the extreme northern islands of the Philippines, then moving toward Hong Kong or Vietnam; and landfalling or traversing the northern parts of Luzon, then moving toward Vietnam.
The Philippines is so far hit by tropical cyclones Amang, Betty, Chedeng, Dodong, Egay and the latest was Falcon.